Our Early Presidential Election Prediction: Trump 330, Biden 208
See our Oct. 18 prediction: The Canary’s Latest Election Prediction: Trump 338, Biden 200
We’ll surely get mail on this one but on Nov. 3, we’re predicting a landslide victory for President Donald Trump.
Now, for our projections below, they’re purely made up out of thin air. That’s to say we got our information and data from the same place the so-called professional pollsters get theirs.
We’ll update this map weekly. And then we’ll compare our final prediction to the actual results.
Canary Has Trump Winning in a Landslide – Electoral Map Prediction #1
This is how we’re feeling on Oct. 10, 24 days from Election Day.
It’s going to be Trump in a landslide. We’ve got 330 for the incumbent Trump and just 208 for the former Vice President Joe Biden.
And in our first prediction map, we’ve got at least 1 whopper of a shock result.
That’s right. We’ve got New Jersey flipping RED. Go ahead, tell us we’re crazy. We may not deny it. And by our final prediction map in a few weeks, we think there may be another big Blue state to flip.
As noted above, we’re going purely on gut feeling with our prediction. But at least we’re not using biased polling.
The truth about those polls is just about anyone can come up with numbers that at least seem true. You can predict, based on previous elections, how races are going to turn out before they happen. Adjust a number up or down for weeks leading up to the Election and you’ve just created some engaging content.
But rather than just spew out numbers drawn from mid-air, we’ll give a little reasoning behind our prediction.
Rust Belt Frustration
Trump will cruise to a landslide victory on the back of the Rust Belt, just as he did in 2016. We’ve been hearing for 4 years about people who regret their vote for Trump in 2016 but honestly, how many of those people do you believe exist?
What changed about Trump from then until now? People aren’t flipping on the President because of his attitude or his tweets or some other petty reason the #FakeNews tells you is the reason these so-called voters flip.
It’s never made any sense.
In fact, there’s definitely reason to believe that people living in the Rust Belt are increasingly frustrated with their state’s governor due to hyper-extended COVID lockdowns and restrictions.
That’s definitely the case in Pennsylvania. We believe Tom Wolf needs to prevent a veto-proof majority on Nov. 3 to keep his firm grip on the state. If enough seats get flipped, he’ll have to let go of the controls by himself or face certain impeachment.
And you’d have hard time convincing us that the situation isn’t the same in Ohio and Michigan. It’s definitely been the case in New Jersey, too, and that’s why we believe it is ripe for Trump to pick off the Democrats.
Civil unrest and lawlessness in Wisconsin and Minnesota, sadly, will mean more votes for Trump in November. We say sadly because it had to come to what it did in order for people to wake up in those states.
Even if you gave New Jersey and one of either Minnesota or Wisconsin to Biden, it wouldn’t be enough to put him over the top. You could give him Arizona, too, and it still wouldn’t put him in the White House.
So, this is our first call prediction:
- Trump: 330
- Biden: 208
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com