Posted by on October 18, 2020 8:11 pm

Categories: 2020 Election Coal Region Newswire 2

electoral map election prediction trump 338 biden 200

A week ago, we released our first Electoral Map Prediction on the 2020 Presidential race.

It should come as no surprise to our regular readers that we had Trump cruising to an easy victory on Election Day.

But man, did we screw up that first map and readers let us know about it.



A lot of that stuff.

Oddly, no one said anything about us flipping New Jersey from BLUE to RED.

And apparently, everyone missed the “totally unscientific” nature to our prediction. We said we got our information and basis for the picks from the same place the professional pollsters get theirs … thin air.

So, let’s go for Round 2.

Trump Widens Landslide Win in Canary’s Latest Electoral Prediction – Electoral Map Prediction #2

This is how we’re feeling on Oct. 18, just 16 days from Election Day.

So, we’ve made a few changes to our map. Some smart people got in our ear (as did the loud ones) and we’ve updated our prediction.

First, we’ve moved Minnesota back to Biden. And yes, we’ve flipped Louisiana to Trump.

We’re sticking with Trump taking New Jersey, too.

Now for the Trump gains? We’ve got a pair.

New Hampshire is now in Trump’s column. And you can add Nevada to that pile, too.

So, that brings our Electoral Prediction for Oct. 18 to:

  • Trump: 338
  • Biden: 200

Here’s how it looks on a map generated by

Click the map to create your own at


Gut feelings. No biased polling is used to create The Canary’s Electoral Prediction map.


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27 responses to The Canary’s Latest Election Prediction: Trump 338, Biden 200

  1. Gus October 19th, 2020 at 7:58 pm

    You may be confusing that map with the Covid-19 rate of infection by states map.


    • Canary Commenter October 19th, 2020 at 11:57 pm



  2. Jerry October 20th, 2020 at 3:28 pm

    What was your prediction for 2016 and was it accurate?


    • Canary Commenter October 20th, 2020 at 5:14 pm

      We weren’t publishing in 2016. The Canary is relatively new. But no joking, we called Trump winning the election and even got certain states right. Never a doubt. Just going on gut and a growing history involved in politics in some way. Call it a hunch.


  3. Zachary Quade October 21st, 2020 at 8:30 pm

    is this a joke?


    • Canary Commenter October 21st, 2020 at 9:15 pm

      Are you?


  4. Dan October 22nd, 2020 at 2:29 pm

    I hope you are right, Canary. I hope you are exactly right.


  5. I'mJustSayin,OK? October 25th, 2020 at 1:34 pm

    I don’t see Trump happening in New Jersey, although I wish it would. Our Trump yard signs are out and we’ve had multiple boat and car parades throughout the state but I think we’re just too “organized” here.
    Oh well, stranger things have happened, I guess.


    • Canary Commenter October 25th, 2020 at 3:30 pm

      Perhaps a little wishful thinking. We promise 2 more projections before Election Day. If we posted the same thing week after week, Google would flag it as duplicate content πŸ˜‰ But seriously, states with extreme reactions to the pandemic definitely pissed off a lot of voters.


  6. Biden Wins October 26th, 2020 at 1:01 am

    I want whatever the person making this prediction is smoking.


    • Canary Commenter October 26th, 2020 at 1:37 am

      Nope. Can’t have any.


    • Joe C October 27th, 2020 at 7:22 pm

      Don’t need to smoke to call a Trump landslide. Book it now! Cry me a river on November 4.


  7. Carl October 27th, 2020 at 12:57 am

    I hope this is wrong. I hope he wins CO and MN too!! Landslide!


  8. Mike W October 27th, 2020 at 8:54 am

    So … Why create these predictions if they are out of thin air?


    • Canary Commenter October 27th, 2020 at 9:40 am

      Why don’t you ask Larry Sabato and Nate Silver the same thing?


  9. Joe C October 27th, 2020 at 7:18 pm

    Don’t need to smoke to call a Trump landslide. Book it now! Cry me a river on November 4.


    • Louann October 28th, 2020 at 4:04 pm

      ~HIGH FIVE~ fingers crossed!


  10. Cam October 28th, 2020 at 12:07 pm

    Is it a joke or is this real ?


    • Canary Commenter October 28th, 2020 at 12:23 pm

      Are you real or are you a joke?


  11. Jc October 28th, 2020 at 11:53 pm

    ( ) ( )
    β€”β€”β€”β€”- – –
    – –
    – –
    – –
    β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”- – Trump 2020
    Trump 2016. Silent majority
    Silent majority




  12. Rob October 29th, 2020 at 12:06 am

    Almost spot on with my prediction except I have NM & NJ going Blue & MN going Red. I think Trump will definitely close the gap in states like NJ & NY, but it won’t be enough to actually win it. Also predicting a popular vote win by the president as well.


  13. Klaus Peter Stuchlik October 30th, 2020 at 6:41 pm

    When will you update your predictions or will you?


    • Canary Commenter October 30th, 2020 at 7:29 pm

      We’ll have a final prediction on Saturday evening.


  14. Rob October 30th, 2020 at 11:41 pm

    “we got our information and basis for the picks from the same place the professional pollsters get theirs … thin air.” LOL!!!

    I know we have to give Slow Biden some votes. But do you really think he’s going to get even 200? I don’t. Lame Stream Media attempts to fool saying rally attendance doesn’t mean anything. It means everything! Biden’s support according to his rally attendance makes me laugh hysterically. He has zero chance winning this election. It’s fixed, for sure, if he does.


  15. Donna Palen November 2nd, 2020 at 5:10 pm

    Where is your updated map that was to be put out on Oct 31st? I’m curious.


    • Canary Commenter November 2nd, 2020 at 5:16 pm

      Missed it by a few hours. ‘Twas a busy week.


  16. PA went blue November 6th, 2020 at 3:06 pm

    306-232, very close. Only off by 32.


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