Happy Sunday Canary Crew! I hope you all enjoyed Thanksgiving with whomever you were allowed to spend it with. We certainly enjoyed a nice few days in the Flashlight household despite the fact that my beloved Steelers were delayed from playing on Thursday night.
The FLASHLIGHT’S CORE was the key to our success as our main horses Deshaun Watson, Dalvin Cook and Keenan Allen all had great games and powered us to victory. In fact we had another 100% winning week on both sites. On FanDuel we scored 148.58, average pay lines were around 128. DraftKings pay lines were were around 143 and we put up 151.96. Can’t argue with the results last week and I’m happy that I brought in another winning week.
As far as gambling goes we treaded water going 3-3. For the season we’re at 47-26 (64%) and it’s been a lot of fun. I’m working hard to find some more winners this week.
WEATHER ALERTS: Nothing that will significantly affect fantasy value. Finally.
As usual first I’ll hit you with THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE – These are “my guys” for the week who are common between my lineups on both FanDuel and DraftKings. This is an unusual week where the lineups between sites are nearly identical except for the FLEX plays. Then I’ll let you know who I’m using to fill out each roster by site. Finally, I’ll show you my lineups. Keep in mind that I do make changes on Sunday morning if news breaks. If that happens I’ll tweet out the link to this updated article.
So make sure you follow me on Twitter @FlashlightDFS for my latest updates, last minute info, game day entertainment, seasonal or daily lineup advice or just to shoot the breeze about football.
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE
QUARTERBACK
Teddy Bridgewater ($7000 FD/$6300 DK) – People may be sleeping on Bridgewater who has a very favorable game script against a team who should score plenty against them. Teddy is averaging over 250 passing yards and nearly 20 rushing yards per game. He’s thrown for 13 TD which is pedestrian but has rushed for 3 which helps. Minnesota has secondary issues and with the WR weapons at Bridgewater’s disposal he’ll have plenty of options. The porous Panthers defense will struggle to stop the Vikings so this game has shootout potential. Teddy is the best value QB out there.
RUNNING BACK
Dalvin Cook ($11000 FD/$9500 DK) – Yes, the price is absurd but I don’t really have to sell you on how effective Cook has been over the past few weeks. What makes him worth the sky high price is how miserable the Panthers defense has been AND the absence of Adam Thielen this week. The Panthers have given up at least 100 rushing yards in 10 of 13 games, over 125 yards 6 times including games of 166 yards and 210.
Nick Chubb ($8400 FD/$7100 DK) – Chubb has returned from his injury ready to roll. His two games have stat lines of 19/126/1 and 20/114/0. I’m not worried about his lack of work in the passing game. Jacksonville is cratering, they give up over 129 rush yards/game. Cleveland on the other hand has the #3 rushing attack in the NFL gaining over 156 yards/game on the ground. They’re committed to the run and Chubb is the lead rusher.
Wayne Gallman ($5700 FD/$5000 DK) – Yeah it feels gross but like it or not Gallman has emerged as the #1 RB for the Giants. He’s been productive too, scoring a TD in each of his last four games. His carries are moving up too and he’s commanding nearly all the work. Pair that up with the Bengals defense who are trending down, giving up 160+ rush yards in 2 of their last 3 games.
WIDE RECEIVER
Nelson Agholor ($5200 FD/$4900 DK) – Well here we are in Week 12 of 2020 and Agholor is in our lineups. Eagles fans will be familiar with Mr. Agholor but since his move to Las Vegas he’s generated a good relationship with the QB. Yeah, he still has the dropsies sometimes but he’s got 6 TD on the season and is the primary WR option for the Raiders. The Falcons still stink at defense, that hasn’t changed, and we need value to get our RBs, so I love Agholor this week to run wild in Atlanta.
Michael Pittman Jr. ($5700 FD/$5000 DK) – Another value options to fit our RBs in. Since returning fully from injury Pittman has inserted himself into the Colts offense as the primary WR option. He’s seen 6 targets, nearly 5 catches and 70 yards per game since coming back and has 1 TD in those three games. The Titans defense isn’t intimidating so he’s a great budget options.
TIGHT END
Kyle Rudolph ($4600 FD/$2800 DK) – Another value guy who will see all the TE work since Irv Smith Jr is out. Value swings up on Rudolph when you consider Adam Thielen is out which will leave a lot of red zone targets open. Unless you can afford Travis Kelce, TE is a wasteland and Rudolph has the right price and the right opportunity.
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
New York Giants ($4300 FD/$3200 DK) – Without Joe Burrow & Joe Mixon the Bengals bring very little offensive talent to the game. The Giants defense has a respectable 25 sacks on the season (2.5/game) and has turned the ball over 16 times (1.6/game). Put them against the Bengals and whatever tomato can they put out there at QB and we’ll be good.
FANDUEL
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE PLUS:
Wide Receiver – Calvin Ridley ($8100 FD) – God bless FanDuel pricing. Julio Jones is out leaving plenty of targets to be spread around, some of which will bolster Ridley’s already spectacular 8.5/game. The Raiders bring the 5th most porous pass defense to the game and the Falcons will be looking to bounce back after a lousy game.
DRAFTKINGS
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE PLUS:
Wide Receiver – Robby Anderson ($6100 DK) – Seeing nearly 9 targets a game, Anderson has established himself as more than a deep threat. Teddy clearly trusts him and he’s shown this season that he’s capable of producing, ranking in the top 11 in the league in yards, catches and targets. TDs haven’t been there but he’ll have plenty of opportunity against the Vikings who struggle in coverage.
THE FLASHLIGHT’S FAVORITE BETS
64% (47-26) on the season. Let’s get some.
Miami/Jets ov 45
Panthers/Vikings ov 50
Browns/Jags un 48.5
Bills -4
Raiders/Falcons ov 53
Titans/Colts un 51
Psycho Parlay all 6 +5256
Good luck this week!
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