Happy Sunday Canary Crew! Thanks for checking out my best FREE NFL Week 15 DFS Lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings. We’ve got a full slate of games this week and I have some plays that I’m really excited about.
Your boy here had a rough weekend for fantasy football. On FanDuel we came up with 121.1 points which cashed us in 33% of contests. DraftKings was a mess, only scoring 104.3 points and missing the pay lines completely. I also was bounced from the playoffs in my season long league despite having the 3rd highest score of the week.
On DK it was just a big fat stack of mediocrity. No player scored over 20 points for us and our supposed powerhouse of Aaron Rodgers/Davonte Adams only grabbed 20.5 points. The only other true letdowns were Jack Doyle (4.7) and James Washington (7.3). So, thanks for playing but…
Our FanDuel lineup was much more interesting. We still suffered through Rodgers/Adams but hit big on Michael Thomas (24.9), Ian Thomas (14.2), Steelers D (18) and Melvin Gordon (16.9). Still, my YOLO call on Julio Jones sucked (9.1) and again, it’s hard to win when your QB/WR1 Discount Double Check your score for only 17.5 points.
Side note, the GPP only lineup did OK last week scoring 133.3. It was a minimum cash in GPP contests so nothing interesting there but I did take down a 10-man contest with it to secure a decent profit for the week on FanDuel.
DFS is great because we just reload this week and can win it all back! I really like the way the board lays out for us this week and I’ll try to include another BONUS GPP lineup if I have time to get it in the post. If I do, I’ll add it as an update so check back.
I’m available via Twitter @FlashlightDFS if you have questions about building your lineups on DFS or general fantasy football questions.
So here it is, my best FREE NFL Week 15 Lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings.
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE
These are “my guys” this week who I’m using on both sites and a little analysis of why I’m on them.
RUNNING BACK
Chris Carson – Carson is criminally under priced on FanDuel and fairly priced on DK so we’re 100% on him. Carson will be the only show in town with Rashaad Penny blowing his ACL last week. Carson is getting nearly 19 carries and 3 catches a game and now his backup is on the shelf leading to more opportunity. They face Carolina who are in shambles right now. They’re 29th in Rush yards allowed, 32nd in rush TD allowed and have given up an average of 139 yards/game on the ground. Carson will be highly owned but that’s ok in cash.
WIDE RECIEVER
Keenan Allen – We need to find value at WR and Allen fits the bill perfectly. Get this, here are Keenan’s NFL stat ranks so far this season: Receptions – 4th (81); Targets 5th (119); Yards 14th (947); TD 23rd (5). On FD he’s WR 25 and on DK he’s WR 18. That’s value folks. Meanwhile, Minnesota isn’t as intimidating as they seem on defense. They’ve given up the 8th most fantasy points to WR, 5th most TD, 5th most receptions and 12th most receiving yards to WR so far this season. Allen moves around the formation enough and will be able to shake loose from the slower but hard hitting Minnesota secondary.
Terry McLaurin – More value at WR with McLaurin. Yeah I know the Redskins suck and their QB situation with Dewayne Haskins is bleak. Despite this, McLaurin has still managed a good rookie season and gets a great match up vs. the hapless Eagles secondary. Here’s why we like Terry: He’s got only 3 games with fewer than 6 targets this season. He roasted these Eagles in week 1 for 5/125/1. I expect to see a lot of passing in this game. Sure there’s risk with any Redskin but the potential reward/price outweigh those risks this week.
Darius Slayton – Don’t look now but Darius Slayton is a WR1. Over his last 4 games he’s averaging 9.75 targets, 6.25 catches, 96.5 yards and 1 TD. That’s a nice baseline vs. the Dolphins defense who have surrendered a league high 22 TD to opposing WR and allow the 4th most fantasy points/game to opposing WR. Eli gets the start again and showed a willingness to let Slayton make plays on deep balls and he’ll have plenty of opportunity to do that this week yet again.
TIGHT END
Zach Ertz – After a pedestrian start to the season Ertz has suddenly shown up in November and December racking up at least 9 catches and 91 yards in 4 of his last 5 games. He’s also scored 4 TD over those 5 games. The Eagles WR situation is a complete dumpster fire at this point which leads to an increased focus on the Ertz. He’s seen 11 targets/game in November and December and I don’t see that changing this week. The Redskins are 8th worst vs. the TE so things line up for another heavy work load for Ertz this week.
DEFENSE
New England Patriots – So the Pats play the Bengals. That should more or less tell you what you need to know. After playing a run of good offenses (KC, Houston, Dallas, Philly, Baltimore), New England gets an easy one here. The Pats made a living pumping crappy offensive teams early in the season and they’ll have plenty more opportunity this week against the Bengals who rank 31st in scoring, 25th and total yards and 26th in sacks allowed.
FANDUEL
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE PLUS:
QB – Deshaun Watson – I love Watson for a few reasons this week. He’s facing the Titans who are the 25th ranked pass D in the league and surrender over 276 yards/game. Will Fuller should be back (who I like in GPPs this week, incidently). Fuller adds a dimension to this offense that helps everyone get open, from the backs to DeAndre Hopkins (who I would play if I could fit him in). Houston is in a MUST WIN situation here after crapping the bed vs. the Broncos last week. Lastly, Watson can get it done with his arm or his legs, giving us additional scoring opportunities.
RB – Josh Jacobs – I see John Gruden as a straight forward guy, so we only need to see if Jacobs is active. He’s listed a Questionable as of now but we’ll have clarity on that. If he’s active, he’s our guy. Jacksonville has quit on the season, their rush defense is pathetic and Jacobs has feasted on poor defenses this season. If Jacobs is out or there is sketchy news coming out of Oakland regarding his useage, our pivot play is Aaron Jones but we’ll have to make that call before the 1pm games kick. I’ll keep you updated.
FLEX – Tyler Higbee – I don’t usually go TE in the FLEX but I don’t love our options in this price range except for Higbee. Gerald Everett is OUT so Higbee is the guy again this week and he’s done a lot with his opportunities over the last few weeks. Higbee has seen 19 targets in his last two games and has 7 catches and over 100 yards in each. Dallas is in the bottom third of the NFL vs. the TE and are without both Leighton Vander Esch and Sean Lee this week further limiting their ability to cover the short/intermediate passing routes.
DRAFTKINGS
THE FLASHLIGHT’S CORE PLUS:
QB – Kyler Murray – It’s no secret that Murray has cooled off but he’s played some nice games as well. Cleveland’s defense isn’t great and the match up plays in to Murray’s strengths. Cleveland has given up the 8th most rushing yards to QBs this year and is tied for 5th most QB rushing TDs. With how poor Arizona’s defense is this game has shootout potential and should be fun to watch. We’re going to bet the over and start Murray.
RB – Todd Gurley – After a complete ass kicking at the hands of the Ravens it looks like Rams coach Sean McVeigh remembered who is the straw that stirs the drink in LA. Over his last two games Gurley is back to being the bell-cow back and is averaging 21 carries, 87 yards, 1 TD plus 2.5 catches for 27 yards. Dallas is without top LBs Leighton Vander Esch and Sean Lee so Gurley should have the room he needs to operate.
FLEX – Dede Westbrook – Oakland has struggled to stop the pass and Westbrook is in line for more work with the absence of DJ Chark. Over his last 4 he’s seen 7.5 targets a game while Chark has seen 9/game, so the expectation is for a chunk of those targets to make their way to Westbrook.
That’s it for the week, good luck Canary Crew!
For game time updates, questions with your DFS or seasonal lineups or to see my smattering of Tweets follow me @FlashlightDFS.
Have a great Sunday!
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