This is it, folks. The time is upon us.
Election Day is hours away at this point.
It’s time for our final 2020 Election prediction.
And yes, we’ve still got President Donald Trump winning in a landslide.
But for our final prediction, we came back to Earth a bit and reduced the difference just slightly from our previous picks.
If you’ll remember, we had Trump getting 330 electoral votes. Then we had him at 338.
READ:
- The Canary’s Latest Election Prediction: Trump 338, Biden 200
- Our Early Presidential Election Prediction: Trump 330, Biden 208
Crazy is how some described our prognosticators. High was another.
It’s neither. And our picks aren’t as crazy or as high as believing there’s an overwhelming majority of people who actually believe Joe Biden should be President.
C’mon, man!
Final Trump Landslide Election Victory Prediction: Trump 324, Biden 214
Don’t worry, it’s still a landslide.
We’re dead serious about this pick. When all the votes are counted or thrown in a river or dumped in the woods or found in a dumpster, we believe Trump will soundly thump Biden, 324-214.
If you’ve seen our previous picks, you’ll see that we flipped New Jersey back to the color blue, begrudgingly.
Yes, we still think there’s a chance The Garden State goes for Trump. Actually, we think it’s a decent chance. California – yes … California! – could flip, too. No joke.
Have you seen the massive Trump parades there?
This is Beverly Hills, California. Just a massive Trump parade. 3 full minutes of Trump supporters, of all races, showing their love (with tons more the camera didn’t catch).
BEVERLY HILLS, CALIFORNIA
No ones ever seen anything like this. pic.twitter.com/67yQr8C1mV
— Kip Herriage (@KHerriage) October 25, 2020
Here’s another from Beverly Hills. This isn’t normal.
https://twitter.com/ChrisTigani/status/1322745237643661314
Some Californians say that conservatives are less afraid of coming out from the shadows now but it may not lead to a Trump win. Our map reflects that, but remember who said it might happen.
So, let’s look at how we get Trump to 324 electoral votes:
Rust Belt Sweep
With the exception of Illinois, Trump’s going to sweep through the Midwest.
Wisconsin, Ohio, Indiana, West Virginia … those are locks. Did anyone ever believe Iowa was a toss-up as some polls suggested? Neither did we.
But Trump picks up landslide points by taking Minnesota. Book it! And Michigan is definitely in for Trump again. He’s making that state the final rally spot on the campaign trail in 2020 just like he did in 2016.
Pennsylvania Going for Trump
Yes, there are Biden supporters in Pennsylvania. But no, there aren’t as many as the mainstream and social media outlets would lead you to believe. That many people just don’t exist.
As for Trump supporters though, on Saturday, the President held 4 rallies in the Keystone State, including this whopper in Butler County. Look at all those people:
Butler County, PA.
I’ve never seen anything like it — just a sea of people. pic.twitter.com/VYImRB710v
— #ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) November 1, 2020
Texas Going Red, Of Course. Florida, Too
Just like in 2016, there was a time not too long ago that the Democrats pretended to think they’d win Texas. That’s not happening on Tuesday. You can put it and its 38 juicy electoral votes in the Trump column.
Same can be said for sunny Florida. You’ve seen the Biden campaign hosting its weird car rallies there a lot recently but no one’s showing up (except Trump supporters).
Nevada, New Hampshire Moved to Blue
We’ve had each of Nevada and New Hampshire in the RED column in previous predictions. Again, we’re just trying to stay humble here, so we put them in the BLUE column. But don’t be surprised if our previous picks were right on these states.
Take a look at our map below (created at 270towin.com) and tell us we’re nuts. We can take it.
But we’ve got a feeling this may be exactly what you see when the votes are tallied after Election Night.
Click the map to create your own at - Tamaqua Bakery Selling Hundreds of Trump Bread Loaves Daily
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- Biden Says He’s Running for the Senate … Again
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Mr Bojangles
November 1, 2020 at 4:48 am
You are nuts
Dan
November 1, 2020 at 12:55 pm
Good work, Canary. I hope you are right on the money. Socialism sucks, so vote Trump!
Anna Edgar
November 3, 2020 at 4:30 am
You dont like the Fire Department?
Eagle2345
November 3, 2020 at 1:16 pm
Fire Dept are not socialism. Grap a civics book sometime.
Doof Warrior
November 5, 2020 at 7:11 pm
Dan doesn’t know what socialism is.
Amy
November 3, 2020 at 10:31 am
Socialism: a political and economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production, distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a whole. (ie. not found anywhere in the policies pushed by Vice President Joe Biden)
b-A
November 3, 2020 at 1:39 pm
its the actions in the policies that make up his socialistic hell hole. You don’t have to see the word but it’s required you know what it means.
Dale Charrette
November 1, 2020 at 8:18 pm
I agree with your assessment, I think that Nevada and California just may go red, as well as New Jersey. It will be total Trump landslide, You can deny the crowds, the enthusiasm, and just the fact that President Trump has withstood, the left, the spying, the Russia hoax, the Ukraine joke impeachment, the fake news, the DNC, the MSM in the back pocket of the DNC, and the China Virus and he has kicked all and is still standing and will be stronger in his second term with both the house and the senate and then he can really drain the swamp, and Make American Great Again, Again. Behnd you 1000% President Trump.
John
November 2, 2020 at 12:42 am
are you high on bath salts
do you need help sir
Kevin Gary Butterfield
November 2, 2020 at 1:14 am
He said, “Trump 1000%,” as the rest of us are.
Dale Charrette
November 2, 2020 at 6:28 am
Are you High on Socialism to vote for Sleepy Joe, I am entitled to my opinion, and my opinion is that my President, President Trump will win in a landslide. You heard it here first. LOL
Ryan Cokes
November 2, 2020 at 8:52 pm
I could say that Joe Biden will win every single state tomorrow and say that it’s just my opinion. Anyone with three brain cells would be able to tell that that’s just not going to happen.
No one is denying that Trump could win tomorrow, but to even suggest that California out of all states has even the slightest possibility to go red pretty much means that you’re either high on bath salts or you’re severely delusional. California polls have Biden up nearly 30 points almost universally, and New Jersey has him up around 25 points. And before you say “polls don’t matter” let me remind you that Wisconsin had the wrongest polls in 2016, and they only favored Clinton by an average of 6 points. Every other Clinton favored state that Donald Trump won was within the margin of error, a.k.a. it really wasn’t that surprising that he won.
The fact is that the media is what gave Hilary Clinton overwhelming odds in 2016, not the data. The data was mostly correct in 2016, just as it was mostly correct in 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000, etc. For there to be a Trump landslide, the polls would have to be wrong to a degree that we have never seen before in the history of our country. That’s just the facts; it has nothing to do with socialism, capitalism, Trump, Biden, or who you personally support.
Angie Washburn
November 3, 2020 at 5:30 pm
You obviously haven’t seen what has happened to CA over the last 6 months. 4 years ago we never saw 1 Trump sign. Now there are massive Trump parades every weekend up and down the state. Gov. Newsom pushed the small business community to the brink of death, they are voting like their lives depend on it. All the socialist Tech kids that lived in The Bay Area just moved to UT, NC, and TX because they can work from home now. Newsom and the unions declared war on Disneyland! Orange County/Anaheim has lost $3B Trump may not have enough to win CA, but I think people will be surprised how close he gets.Check out the #Walkaway group in CA if that doesn’t convince you CA is changing, I don’t know what will.
Trump got me like :')
November 5, 2020 at 8:48 pm
Riiiiight, you were saying Angie?
Dillin Fortier
November 22, 2020 at 3:09 am
Yeah, picking California to go Red was just STUPID.
Oh, and if Trump’s 2016 306 EVs was a “landslide (his words) than so is Biden’s win. BIDEN 2024!
Doof Warrior
November 27, 2020 at 8:55 pm
Only 304. Biden’s 2020 EC count > Trump’s 2016 EC count. BIDEN (or Harris) 2024!
Phungrrl
November 2, 2020 at 11:42 pm
Massive case of confirmation bias zero chance your map materializes
alex 🏳️🌈
November 19, 2020 at 12:22 am
I’m sorry, what were you saying Dale? I’m more happy about the fact that I can gloat in your privileged face with no consequences then the fact that Biden is our next president. The delusion trump spreads truly has made many American’s enter a state of complete incompetence. “It will be a total trump landslide.” Hilarious. Don’t forget that the first stage of grief is denial! And if I may make a recommendation Dale, go buy some tissues. You clearly need them.
Jess Mee
December 16, 2020 at 10:19 am
You were saying?
Canary Commenter
December 16, 2020 at 8:24 pm
We were saying we pulled the predictions straight from our hind quarters. People trying to shame The Canary for possibly not getting this right … who cares?
Scoop #2
November 2, 2020 at 1:28 am
If Trump wins MN I’ll be proud.
JoeSnow
November 2, 2020 at 6:04 am
It’s going to be a rout the likes of which hasn’t seen in American politics since Ronald Reagan defeated Walter Mondale. The margin in favor of Trump will be so large that it will be beyond dispute.
Scot Smith
November 2, 2020 at 3:35 pm
All 50 states for sure
Geralynn matta
November 2, 2020 at 11:11 am
All I know is traveling through several states that I saw only one Biden supporter. This auto had Biden all over it and a Caucasian man got out wearing a black lives matter mask. Interesting enough it had a temporary plate on it and was near a Trump rally in Virginia yesterday.Made me want to puke in my mouth. Everyone please pray for our dutifully elected President.
Scot Smith
November 2, 2020 at 3:37 pm
All 50 states for sure
Don’t puke in your mouth
Puke out of your mouth
Dennis Gleason
November 2, 2020 at 1:24 pm
My prediction is Trump 330 Biden 208
Scot Smith
November 2, 2020 at 3:33 pm
Totally wrong!
President Trump will take all 50 states!
Promises kept: Hillary in prison, no national debt, wall built paid for by Mexico, Obamacare gone, illegals gone, COVID contained to Seattle, coal back. Nuff said!
David Grau
November 3, 2020 at 11:26 am
Hahaha, love this USA USA USA
Doof Warrior
November 5, 2020 at 7:13 pm
Absolute gold!
Ura Slacker
November 2, 2020 at 4:03 pm
I thought electoral “landslides” start at 400, no?
Too many dipshit, conspiracy-addled fools with nary a brain cell amongst them…🙄
Canary Commenter
November 2, 2020 at 5:27 pm
There’s a rule on landslides? Gimme a break, joker.
Long Tran
November 2, 2020 at 6:53 pm
Only people with half a brain would vote for mr sleepy Joe, Go Trump , God bless the USA .
Doof Warrior
November 5, 2020 at 7:17 pm
Only people with no brain would vote for mr sped Don, go Biden , God bless the USA .
Robert
November 2, 2020 at 8:42 pm
I honestly believe this map is going to almost perfectly reflect on election day, except new York. New York is looking like a toss up. Trump Parades all throughout long island and the city (5 of the 12 counties he lost in 2016) leaves just the buffalo and Syracuse areas to vote blue, but it might not be enough. especially with the overwhelming amount f people moving out of the city.
Mark
November 2, 2020 at 11:04 pm
I think Trump will take Colorado and Nevada 339
JJ
November 3, 2020 at 1:00 am
I’m not quite as optimistic. I’ve got it 309-229 for Trump. I don’t see MN, or NM happening. I wish, but just don’t see it. And as for CA, NJ, & NY going Red…. LOL. Never happen. Granted, I would absolutely love to eat crow over that though!!! Go Trump! Never been prouder of my President or to be an American as I am with you sir. 4 more fantastic years please!
Dale Charrette
November 3, 2020 at 6:16 am
Thank you mr never trumper for your bullshit biased disquised as based on facts !
Karen
November 3, 2020 at 10:10 am
These comments and this website are hilarious! From the incorrect definitions of socialism to the improbability of their election forecasts! Not even a comedian could come up with this gold! Keep on keeping on! Don’t change for nobody! LOL
Canary Commenter
November 3, 2020 at 11:31 am
We love your liberal use of negatives in a single sentence.
Karen
November 3, 2020 at 2:18 pm
Thank you, I knew people would appreciate it, but don’t thank me! Thank common english colloquialisms that allow for such beautiful sentence structures! #dontchangefornobody
Jameson
November 3, 2020 at 10:20 am
Elections are hardly ever surprising considering the amount of data that comes out of them. Even last years results were hardly surprising considering all the states that Trump won were easily won within the margin of error. The models have been adjusted for the education level of Trump supporters now. With these improved models, there is still an improbable but non-zero probability that Trump breaks 300. That said, if Trump breaks 300 I’ll eat a standard, Made in China, MAGA hat!
Ryles
November 3, 2020 at 5:29 pm
Game over.
IP freely
November 4, 2020 at 1:32 pm
Oops, guess no landslide. Let the court battles begin!!
Nick
November 4, 2020 at 3:23 pm
The problem with telling your local audience what they want to hear is that wishful thinking doesn’t always align with reality.
Trump got me like :')
November 4, 2020 at 4:30 pm
Sick prediction guys. I’m always entertained by the assumptions people make based on literally no actual data and going with what they hear on Fox news.
Dan
November 4, 2020 at 5:27 pm
This prediction would be much more on target were it not for all the Democrat cheating going on.
Doof Warrior
November 5, 2020 at 7:20 pm
My prediction would be much more on target were it not for all the Republican cheating going on.
Dan
November 10, 2020 at 11:13 am
Right Doofus.
Nick
November 4, 2020 at 6:55 pm
How exactly are the Democrats “cheating”? Trump wants you to believe that votes that weren’t counted on Tuesday are cheat votes, but:
1. As has been explained over and over by numerous experts, not all states can count all of their ballots on election day, especially when there are many mail-in votes.
2. Why would the Democrats cheat by funneling in fake votes after election day? If they had the power to cheat, wouldn’t they have done so ON election day?
Try to remember that your local community may give you a skewed view on the candidates. If everyone in your county (maybe even neighboring counties) votes red, you probably see overwhelming support for Trump each day and get the impression that he couldn’t possibly lose. Local news agencies will be pushing Trump because they know that’s what their audience expects. But keep in mind that what you see in your city, county, or even state is not necessarily representative of the nation as a whole.
Doof Warrior
November 4, 2020 at 11:07 pm
This article is hilarious. Just as funny is its comments section. I’m going to ready some popcorn and stick around here.
Doof Warrior
November 4, 2020 at 11:21 pm
If Donny hates losers, does he hate himself?
Nicole
November 5, 2020 at 2:21 pm
Well, looks like you got it exactly right!
Oh, except Maine. And Nevada, and Arizona, and Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
And you were spending way too much time being high when you picked New Mexico red.
I won’t blame you on Georgia even if it turns, or even Pennsylvania.
Everly
November 7, 2020 at 3:52 pm
This is hilarious, and emblematic of everything wrong with the Trump followers. Thankfully, our President Biden will work for you crazies and the rest of us, while the whole deplorable movement will slide ungraciously into the swamp from which it came. Enjoying this beautiful Joe McCarthy reckoning today- hope you are too, lol!
Canary Commenter
November 7, 2020 at 4:52 pm
Never said anything mean about you but nice language you’re using. From reading your comment, IF Biden is eventually declared the actual winner, God help us all if you’re emblematic of what compassion and dignity truly are.
Dan
November 10, 2020 at 11:23 am
You are a brainwashed tool. Enjoy your sky high tax increases, unemployment, and being the pussy of the world as Biden goes on his apologize to the tyrants tour like Obama did. Enjoy BLM and other Communists controlling every aspect of your life. Hope you’re not a gun owner. If you are, you might as well sell your guns now because they are coming to take them eventually. You have kids? They will indoctrinate them with Communist propaganda. You think Biden is going to fix everything in 4 years after 47 years of doing absolutely nothing except enrich himself and plagiarize others? Give me a break.
Chris
November 10, 2020 at 12:02 pm
The fact that you think all those things are true probably means you don’t make more than $400,000 which means Biden’s tax plan does NOT affect you. What will affect you are the middle class tax hikes that kick in in 2021 through 2027 according to the 2017 tax act. BLM is a civil rights movement for more police accountability not communism. Trump passed more anti-gun regulation than Obama. Trump funneled in tens of millions of dollars by spending 1/3 of his presidencies at one of his resorts and diverted a military flight to stay at his Scottish resort. All of these are verifiable facts just use google.
Nick
November 15, 2020 at 3:30 pm
Did the world end under Obama? Did the US turn into a communist republic where all guns were outlawed, taxes were 75%, and big government had a camera in every room of your house?
No. You probably made the same ridiculous assertions in 2008 and 2012, but the fact is that the President doesn’t have enough power to turn the country into a liberal paradise (or a conservative paradise). There will be a few policies you don’t like, but overall your life won’t change much other than you being angry all the time for no reason.
Doof Warrior
November 17, 2020 at 12:58 pm
Chris, Nick, don’t worry about Dan as he’s fookin clueless.
Smugliberal
November 9, 2020 at 9:21 pm
Called that, didn’t you?
Delete this
Canary Commenter
November 9, 2020 at 9:46 pm
We don’t play those games. We don’t rewrite history. Read our previous posts on predictions. They’re just guesses, just like the pollsters. Go demand Nate Silver retract his predictions. You’re more likely to get results from that spineless twit.
Joe
November 10, 2020 at 12:32 am
The difference between pollsters and this prediction is pollsters create models using actual data! This map looks like someone blindly clicked a 270towin map while drunk watching Fox and Friends. For example, New Mexico and Minnesota weren’t going red. All models are wrong, some are useful! This model is both wrong and useless. Nate Silver created a model compiling weighted poll data to create a useful model that accurately predicted the model within margin of error. But don’t delete this post, it should teach us that we need to trust data and live in reality.
Canary Commenter
November 10, 2020 at 12:54 am
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense what you said because all those professional pollsters and their data were so accurate this year. All it proves that taking wild guesses – as we did – is about as accurate as all that data and time and money. And in the end, we could still be proven right. Ya never know.
Joe
November 10, 2020 at 1:20 am
President elect Joe Biden won 290-214! Thats evidence enough to prove you wrong and the pollsters right. If the radical right can come up with ANY shred of evidence of voter fraud, I suggest you get used to living under a president that actually fights for you and me! In the mean time, crack open a math book or any book really!
Smugliberal
November 10, 2020 at 4:21 pm
What chance do you have to be proven right? 😂
Where is he going to get close to 270 let alone the magical landslide you predicted? It’s literally not going to happen. Hail president elect Biden, to be inaugurated as 46th president of the united states as of 20th January 2021!that’s a sure bet. 😊
deef jay
November 22, 2020 at 3:10 am
Yep, Biden won. SADLY more due to COVID and Trump stupidity than a great plan for America.
Smugliberal
November 10, 2020 at 4:17 pm
Not a well rounded guess. Fair enough. Still wrong. 290! If he sweeps up the rest you do realise he’ll be beyond Trump’s claim of a landslide in 2016? Which was around 304!
That would be more amusing 🤗
Amused
November 23, 2020 at 2:14 am
To the author,
Where would you say you are?
denial
anger
bargaining
depression
acceptance
🤭
Smugliberal
November 28, 2020 at 8:43 am
80 million voters said “nope”
Bye Trump!
Canary Commenter
November 28, 2020 at 11:50 am
“80 million” “voters” … there, fixed that for you.
Doof Warrior
December 14, 2020 at 8:49 pm
You callin’ me a “voter” rather than a voter?
Smugliberal
December 15, 2020 at 2:29 am
What did you fix? Certainly not your deluded projection. 306 electoral college votes fo Biden. Think you need to eat humble pie
Jess Mee
December 16, 2020 at 10:18 am
You were saying?